Publication Details
Abstract
Synthesis of external and internal factors of services export volume: influence on the national economic development: introduction of the research While services exports arise from a variety of intricate macroeconomic and sectoral circumstances, previous studies tend to look at growth in aggregate services sector rather than particular determinants of exports. Despite a wealth of studies on the relationship between inflation and service exports performance, the available literature has largely failed to consider the integrated analysis of the simultaneous impact of inflation, investment structure, wages, working capital and external environment factors on service export performance, hence the knowledge gap evident in this area, especially in the context of the developing economies like Uzbekistan. The research uses common scientific methods such as analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction, comparative analysis of macroeconomic indicators. Statistical data are analysed in the context of wages, inflation, investments, and service output to evaluate structural constraints and assess potential for growth. The results highlight the strong relationship between global economic conditions, exchange rate stability, inflation stabilization, the suitability of foreign trade policy and the distribution of domestic investment in a proportion that benefits service export dynamics. Service output and sector wages per capita in Uzbekistan are much lower than those of developed economies, and investment flows have a similarly high concentration in industry at the expense of services. Inflation and lack of working capital exacerbate the challenge of competing in world markets.The findings suggest that building private financial incentives, broadening investment in services, and anchoring macroeconomic stability are critical for the expansion of exports. The research suggests that macroeconomic monitoring of external and internal factors as well as the econometric assessment of the quality of services can help foster a rapid modernisation of the service sector and the strengthening of export capacity if they are properly aligned with the attention and monitoring planned for the service sector. These findings give policy conclusions for sustainable growth in service exports and long term resilience of economy.